Revision of the transfer value and analysis of post-distribution monitoring

MEB March: 20,000 + 12,000 + 6,000 + 6,600 + 2,800 + 200 + 2,000 + 5,000 + 1,500 + 7,500 + 5,000 + 3,000 = 71,600 FCFA.

MEB September: 23,750 + 15,200 + 6,500 + 7,500 + 2,800 + 200 + 2,500 + 5,600 + 1,500 + 8,750 + 5,000 + 3,000 = 82,300 FCFA.

Change: (82,300 − 71,600) / 71,600 = 10,700 / 71,600 = +14.9%.

Increase of 10,700 FCFA, of which rice + 3,750 and millet + 3,200, i.e. 6,950 FCFA for cereals (65% of the increase), followed by charcoal + 1,250 and oil + 900. This is the classic profile of the lean season, before the harvests.

The change (14.9%) exceeds the 10% threshold: revision is mandatory.

Current value: 60% × 71,600 = 42,960, rounded to 43,000 FCFA. New value: 60% × 82,300 = 49,380, rounded to 49,500 FCFA. Increase: 6,500 FCFA per household per month.

Additional monthly cost: 2,400 × 6,500 = 15,600,000 FCFA, plus 2% fees (312,000), i.e. 15,912,000 FCFA. Over 4 months: 63,648,000 FCFA.

The reserve of 40,000,000 FCFA covers 2 full months (31,824,000), leaving 8,176,000 FCFA. Shortfall for 4 months: 63,648,000 − 40,000,000 = 23,648,000 FCFA.

Proposals: apply the new value from October for everyone (do not reduce the number of households or create two values in the same area); inform the donor immediately with the calculation and request a budget modification or top-up; look for savings on other lines; as a last resort, discuss a harmonised application with the other actors in the cash working group. Plan a new price collection after the harvests, as the MEB may come down again.

1. Cash-out problem with the operator: full amount received falls from 97% to 88%, illegal fees rise from 4% to 19%, withdrawal time doubles. With the reported lack of liquidity, this points to agents taking a commission or splitting payments. Action: meeting with the operator, reminder of the contract (no fees for the recipient), liquidity plan per cash-out point on payment days, spot checks, and reimbursement of the fees taken.

2. Safety during withdrawal: 79% against 92%. Long waits expose people. Action: analysis by sex and by cash-out point, staggered payments by group, adapted hours, additional cash-out points.

3. Deterioration of food security: acceptable FCS from 41% to 36%, rCSI from 14.2 to 18.6, food share and debts rising. The transfer value no longer keeps pace with prices (document 1). Action: apply the new value (question 2), monthly price monitoring.

Positive point to keep: the modality remains preferred (83%). Knowledge of complaints channels remains low (61%), which may explain why the fees were not reported: strengthen information.

Limitation: different samples, indicative comparison; also check the effect of the lean season.

SMS: "[NGO name]: from October, your monthly transfer increases to 49,500 FCFA because of rising prices. Withdrawal is FREE: do not pay any fee to the agent. Problem or question: call free of charge on [number]." (about 210 characters)

Key points for the focal points: (1) the new amount and the reason (rising market prices); (2) the planned duration (until January) without promising any extension; (3) withdrawal is free, any fee requested must be reported; (4) the complaints channels (hotline, help desk, box), confidential and with no risk of losing assistance; (5) the new withdrawal times and groups.